Investment

© Howard Bryan Bonham

Kirk's Market Thoughts

  1. stocktiger
  2. Jas_Jain
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  7. stocktiger
  8. Jas_Jain
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31.   Apr 14, 2006 6:25 PM

» stocktiger - Re: Kirk & Tony -- ...Brag. rights

Now you two experts are really entertaining me. I like to read both sides and who wants to split hairs when everyone makes money. 100% return in 8 yrs, OK but not spectacular. I guess if you are at critical mass its enough. Kirk's picks are interesting and great returns. Lucky for me I don't live in bubble land. Existing home sales are great here and today i found my home has increased >2x from original price in 1992. Sure the market will correct a bit soon but the Doom and Gloom scenerio's the Experts (further known as Sperts) have been proposing since Dec have not panned out. Whats a poor amateur to believe besides Results! My fund picks are averaging 16-18% return since July 05 and that makes me happy.
Fear, Greed, Stupidity, and world events seem to drive the market more than Data and we are in a completely different financial environment than even 5 yrs ago, let alone the 60's -90's. People seem to forget the huge world emerging markets. I only hope when the Mullah's have the Nuke they are not successful in crumbling world markets!

peace to all!
Tiger

-- posted by stocktiger


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32.   Apr 14, 2006 7:01 PM

» Jas_Jain - Keeping the Eye On the Ball --Re: Kirk & Tony

In response to Re: Kirk & Tony -- ...Brag. rights posted by stocktiger:

--

Hey Tiger,

Looks like you have been kicking Sperts' ass.

But, don't get taken away by the current flow. In the asset markets the currents can reverse with a vengeance.

Keep the eye on the ball, i.e., the future and the long-term prices of the asset classes. The prices are way above the trend-line right now and they WILL get to way below trend within this decade. Don't get caught with your pants down.

Good luck and be safe.

Jas

-- posted by Jas_Jain


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33.   Apr 14, 2006 9:43 PM

» stocktiger - Keeping the Eye On the Ball --Re: Kirk & Tony

Thanks for the insight, I'm keeping 4 eyes on the ball and my hand on the Sell button. Through this wonderful forum, my investment buddies, and numerous news articles I am doing my best to keep my nest egg safe. I keep the majority of my portfolio invested in- Energy, Gold, Emerging markets (in that order) with the rest spread across Real Estate, Large and Mid cap funds. My friend is in the same type of funds, tho different companies and we are both realizing similar returns. Sure hope someone doesn't drop bombs in Iran on a weekend, haha. Funny thing is in 2003 after we attacked Iraq the markets have been screaming up. I'm starting to think the radical Islamist's want us to bomb Iran to start a declared WWIII to ruin world markets. Food for thought. We're not in Kansas anymore Toto.

Peace!

-- posted by stocktiger


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34.   Apr 19, 2006 12:23 PM

» stocktiger - Crystal Ball and the Big Bear, a children's fable

Kirk, Can you delete my Crystal Ball post from the General Topics that comes up on top of the Discussions/Business Finance page? Some nitwit posted a thread about Strip joints on it which is beyond belief stupid!!!! Don't know who these idiots are but i don't want it tied to my thread.

Good thing i didn't hit the Sell Button last week and the Crystal Ball is less murky now. Not bragging but happy with 18% return since July.

I glean a lot of good info from this site!

All the Best,
Tiger

-- posted by stocktiger


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35.   Apr 19, 2006 1:05 PM

» stocktiger - Crystal Ball and the Big Bear, a children's fable

Delete this link- http://www.suite101.com/discussion.cfm/b...

thanks Kirk, Let the good times roll!

-- posted by stocktiger


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36.   Apr 21, 2006 4:41 PM

» stocktiger - Crystal Ball and INTC/AMD

Kirk, Perhaps INTC/AMD are good long term investments but for the rest of 2006 (until Q4) i don't see a lot of upside in comparison to other sectors. The cost slashing and subsequent "internal cost mode reductions" will severely cut into profit margins,bonus checks,employee morale.

Q1/April has been great for several sectors, ie-
Energy,Emerging markets,Gold,Agressive International. Since July today i reached my personal goal of >20% ave return with actual of 21.16%. Not gloating but realisticaly optimistic.

Hope the Crystal Ball stays shiny but expect a near term drop (The Spurts cannot statistically be wrong much longer, can they?)

Great forum, Great info exchange!

Please have someone delete post- http://www.suite101.com/discussion.cfm/b...

Have a great weekend,
Tiger

-- posted by stocktiger


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37.   Apr 25, 2006 11:07 AM

» stocktiger - Safer Harbors

Kirk or anyone else, What do you think of TGLDX as a safe gold harbor?

I've had very good returns in the fund and since it invests in a multitude of Gold and Mining equipment stocks i thought it would be a safe place to be in case Jas's predictions come true.

I'm also looking at FCEL now and for the last year or so i've been reading about fuel cells for auto and home. Seems like the technology has great promise if they can drive the unit cost down. Any thoughts on FCEL?

Today's little downward bump in Energy due to GBW's speech is probably just a blip in the bigger scheme of things (least i hope so).

Thanks for any insights!

-- posted by stocktiger


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38.   Apr 26, 2006 6:54 AM

» Jas_Jain - Re: Winning on the zigs, losing on the zags

In response to Winning on the zigs, losing on the zags posted by Kirk:

--

"For the last 19 years the average return for the average investor was 2.6% per year inflation was 3.1% and the S&P500 was 12.2%."

And you, or anyone else, doubt my assertion that the so-called stock market in reality scams the public big time? It exploits public's gambling tendencies.

ONLY guaranteed winners are insiders -- those who don't buy Scams on the open market.

Few speculators making money doesn't justify what really goes on. Successful speculators can make money in many ways other than trading Scams on the long side.

Scam Market as a long-term investment for the general public is a myth that has been used to commit the biggest fraud in history. In less than four years you will really get it, Kirk, what I have been saying about Bankrupters and Fraudsters and Corporate Crooks of America.

Jas

-- posted by Jas_Jain


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39.   Apr 26, 2006 11:49 AM

» stocktiger - Re: Winning on the zigs, losing on the zags

Kirk, Very well put and i couldn't agree with you more on the symbiotic nature of things.

My big worry is the burgeoning debt of Americans as a whole. Apparently most people are very short sided maybe even myoptic.

My mom (a retired banker who worked her way to Vice-President) told me 30+ yrs ago "You cannot borrow your way out of debt" and "Always pay your bills/Visa card off as soon as possible" and "Build up a good credit rating and don't overspend"

This has turned out to be pretty sage advice from a women who raised 2 kids by herself and grew up with Ration coupons during WW2.

Maybe it will take a GLOBAL/UNIVERSAL slap on the butt for people to realize economic certainties but I remain optimistic in America and mankind as a whole.

Thank God for my mother's advice!

-- posted by stocktiger


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40.   May 7, 2006 9:50 AM

» stocktiger - Bogus Posting

Kirk, Not to be off subject too much but could you pass on to webhosts to completely delete my post- http://www.suite101.com/discussion.cfm/b...

Someone needs to ban Christan's banal posts permanetly.

Have a great week!

-- posted by stocktiger


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